Key takeaways
- In 2026 about 35.2 million people — roughly 55% of eligible beneficiaries — are in Medicare Advantage, up from 19% in 2007, per KFF.
- The average beneficiary can choose from 32 Medicare Advantage drug plans in 2026, and about 75% of enrollees pay no premium beyond the Part B premium.
- Original Medicare + a Medigap policy costs more each month but removes networks and makes your bills highly predictable.
- For 2026, plan counts fell about 9% and several large insurers are exiting counties, so reviewing your plan every year matters more than ever.
- Switching from Advantage back to Original Medicare is easy; buying a Medigap policy later may require medical underwriting in most states.
- There is no single "best" choice — only the plan that fits your doctors, budget, prescriptions and travel.
If you are approaching 65 — or already on Medicare and rethinking your coverage — you will quickly run into the biggest fork in the road: Medicare Advantage or Original Medicare. It is the single decision that shapes what you pay, which doctors you can see, and how much paperwork stands between you and your care. And unlike most retirement choices, it is one you may revisit every single year.
Here is the honest answer up front: neither option is universally better. They are two very different ways of structuring the same government benefit. Medicare Advantage trades some freedom for lower monthly cost and bundled extras. Original Medicare paired with a supplement trades a higher monthly premium for near-total freedom and predictability. The right choice depends entirely on your health, your budget, your doctors, and how you like to handle risk.
At TSM Life & Health, our philosophy is to educate first and plan second. So in this guide we will walk through both paths using real, current numbers from KFF, CMS and Medicare.gov — not sales talk — so you can see the trade-offs clearly and decide what fits your life.
A quick note on wording. "Original Medicare" means the traditional, government-run Parts A (hospital) and B (medical). "Medicare Advantage" — also called Part C — is private insurance that bundles Parts A and B (and usually Part D drugs) into one plan. TSM Life & Health is an independent agency and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the U.S. government, Medicare or CMS.
Where Medicare enrollment stands in 2026
The story of the last two decades is a steady, dramatic shift toward private plans. In 2007, only about 19% of eligible Medicare beneficiaries chose a Medicare Advantage plan. By 2025 that share had crossed the halfway mark, and for 2026 KFF reports roughly 35.2 million people — about 55% of the 64.2 million eligible beneficiaries — are enrolled in Medicare Advantage. The Congressional Budget Office projects the share will keep climbing to about 63% by 2034.
That growth has been powered by marketing, by low or zero premiums, and by extra benefits that Original Medicare simply does not offer. But growth has recently slowed. According to KFF, enrollment rose about 3% into 2026 — a slower pace than the roughly 9% annual average seen between 2007 and 2024 — as insurers pull back from unprofitable markets. The market is also highly concentrated: UnitedHealth Group (26%) and Humana (20%) together cover nearly half of all Advantage enrollees.
The rise of Medicare Advantage, 2007–2034
Share of eligible Medicare beneficiaries enrolled in a Medicare Advantage plan
What Medicare Advantage actually is
A Medicare Advantage plan is private insurance that Medicare pays to deliver your Part A and Part B benefits, usually with prescription drug coverage folded in. When you enroll, the insurer becomes your point of contact for care — you use their network, their rules and their customer service instead of dealing with Original Medicare directly.
Why so many people choose it
The appeal is real. For 2026, KFF reports that about 75% of enrollees in individual drug plans pay no premium beyond the standard Part B premium, and the average Medicare Advantage premium across all enrollees is roughly $14 a month. Most plans bundle extras that Original Medicare never covers: vision (more than 99% of plans), dental (98%), hearing (95%) and a fitness benefit (91%). Many add over-the-counter allowances, meals after a hospital stay, and transportation.
There is also a crucial safety net Original Medicare lacks on its own: an annual out-of-pocket maximum. Once you hit that cap, the plan covers 100% of the rest of your in-network Part A and B costs for the year. For 2026 the average in-network cap is about $5,421, though it can go higher.
The trade-offs to understand
In exchange for those benefits, Advantage plans use tools to manage cost. You are generally limited to a network of doctors and hospitals. HMOs — 57% of all plans — usually require you to stay in network and get referrals. And most plans use prior authorization, meaning the plan must approve certain services before it pays. Nearly all 2026 enrollees are in a plan that requires prior authorization for at least some services, and in 2024 KFF found insurers denied about 8% of the roughly 53 million prior authorization requests they received.
Original Medicare + Medigap explained
Original Medicare is the traditional program run directly by the federal government. Part A covers inpatient hospital care; Part B covers doctor visits, outpatient care and preventive services. You can see any doctor or hospital in the country that accepts Medicare — and the overwhelming majority do — with no networks and no referrals.
The catch is that Original Medicare, by itself, has no annual out-of-pocket limit. Part B generally pays 80% of covered costs, leaving you responsible for the other 20% with no ceiling. That is where a Medigap (Medicare Supplement) policy comes in. Sold by private insurers but standardized by the government, a Medigap plan pays some or all of the deductibles, copays and coinsurance Original Medicare leaves behind.
How Medigap is standardized
There are 10 standardized Medigap plans, labeled A through N. Because they are standardized, a Plan G from one insurer covers exactly the same benefits as a Plan G from another — only the price and service differ. Plan G is the most popular, held by about 39% of policyholders — nearly 5.3 million people in 2023. It covers virtually all of your Medicare cost-sharing except the annual Part B deductible ($283 in 2026).
About 12.5 million people carried a Medigap policy in 2023, roughly 42% of those in traditional Medicare. The average premium across all Medigap policies was about $217 a month, and Plan G averaged about $164 a month, according to KFF. You then add a standalone Part D prescription drug plan to complete your coverage.
Think of it this way: Original Medicare + Medigap is like paying a higher fixed subscription for near-unlimited access and very few surprises. Medicare Advantage is like a lower-cost plan where you pay as you use care, within a network, up to a yearly cap. Both are legitimate — they just distribute cost and freedom differently.
Head-to-head: the real 2026 costs
Everyone on Medicare pays the Part B premium — $202.90 a month in 2026, per CMS — no matter which path you choose. The difference is what you add on top and what you pay when you actually use care.
With Medicare Advantage, most people add little or nothing in monthly premium (75% pay $0 beyond Part B), but they pay copays and coinsurance as they go — a specialist copay here, a hospital daily copay there — until they hit the plan's out-of-pocket maximum. With Original Medicare + Medigap + Part D, you pay a higher, predictable monthly premium (roughly $164 for a Plan G plus a Part D premium), and in return most of your cost-sharing disappears. In a heavy-care year, that predictability can be worth far more than the monthly savings.
The 2026 Part A hospital deductible is $1,736 per benefit period and the Part B deductible is $283. Under Original Medicare you would face those directly; a comprehensive Medigap plan absorbs most or all of them.
2026 Medicare Advantage out-of-pocket maximums
Average annual limit on Part A & B cost-sharing, by plan type (enrollment-weighted)
Notice what that chart shows: a bad health year in a PPO could expose you to nearly $9,825 across in- and out-of-network care before the cap kicks in. A comprehensive Medigap plan would have covered almost all of that — which is precisely the predictability trade-off at the heart of this decision.
Side-by-side comparison
Here is how the two paths stack up on the features that matter most in 2026.
| Feature | Medicare Advantage (Part C) | Original Medicare + Medigap |
|---|---|---|
| Typical monthly cost | Part B premium ($202.90) + often $0 plan premium (75% of enrollees pay $0) | Part B premium ($202.90) + Medigap (~$164 Plan G avg) + Part D premium |
| Out-of-pocket max | Yes — avg ~$5,421 in-network for 2026 | Effectively very low with comprehensive Medigap (e.g., Plan G) |
| Provider choice | Network-based (HMO/PPO); may need referrals | Any provider nationwide that accepts Medicare |
| Prior authorization | Common — nearly all plans require it for some services | Rare under Original Medicare |
| Prescription drugs | Usually built in (89% of plans include Part D) | Add a separate Part D plan |
| Dental / vision / hearing | Usually included (95–99% of plans) | Not covered; buy separately |
| Travel & snowbirds | Limited outside your service area (emergencies covered) | Works anywhere in the U.S. that takes Medicare |
| Switching later | Change plans freely each year | Medigap may require underwriting outside protected windows |
Figures from KFF (2026) and CMS (2026). This table is general education, not a recommendation for any specific plan.
Networks, referrals and provider freedom
For many people, this is the deciding factor. With Original Medicare, roughly any doctor, specialist or hospital in the country that participates in Medicare will see you, and you never need a referral to visit a specialist. If you have long-standing relationships with particular doctors — or a specialist at an out-of-state academic medical center — Original Medicare protects that access.
Medicare Advantage works differently. Because 57% of plans are HMOs, staying in network and getting referrals is common. PPOs (42% of plans) offer more flexibility but charge more out of network. Every year, plan networks change: a hospital system or physician group can drop out mid-year, and your plan can change which providers are in network. If your preferred doctor leaves the network, you may have to switch doctors or wait for the next enrollment period to change plans.
Always check your doctors first. Before choosing any Medicare Advantage plan, confirm your doctors and preferred hospitals are in network for the coming year, and check that your specific medications are on the plan's formulary. Networks and drug lists reset every January 1 — the plan that was perfect last year may not be this year.
Drugs, travel and extra benefits
Prescription drugs
Original Medicare does not include routine outpatient drug coverage, so you pair it with a standalone Part D plan. Medicare Advantage usually builds Part D right in — 89% of 2026 plans include drug coverage. Either way, 2026 brings a major improvement: every Part D plan now includes the new $2,000 annual cap on out-of-pocket prescription costs. We cover that change in depth in our guide to the key Medicare changes for 2026.
Travel and time away from home
If you split the year between states, spend months traveling, or want the freedom to seek care anywhere, Original Medicare has a clear edge — it travels with you across all 50 states. Medicare Advantage generally ties routine care to a local service area, covering only emergencies and urgent care when you are away. Snowbirds and frequent travelers should weigh this carefully.
Extra benefits
This is where Medicare Advantage shines on paper. Nearly all 2026 plans advertise dental, vision, hearing and fitness benefits, and many add over-the-counter allowances (68% of plans), meals (65%) and transportation (22%). These extras have real value — but they often come with annual dollar limits and network restrictions, so read the fine print. With Original Medicare, you would buy standalone dental or vision coverage separately if you want it.
What's changing in 2026
2026 is a year of contraction for Medicare Advantage. After years of expansion, insurers are pulling back from markets where they cannot make the math work. A few headline shifts from KFF's 2026 plan analysis:
- The total number of individual Medicare Advantage plans fell about 9%, to roughly 3,373 nationwide.
- The average beneficiary has 32 drug-plan options, down from 34 in 2025.
- About 2.6 million enrollees (13%) are in plans being terminated for 2026 and will need to choose new coverage.
- Large insurers are exiting counties: UnitedHealthcare is leaving 225 counties and Humana 198, per KFF.
- About 391,000 beneficiaries in 122 counties across 13 states now have no Medicare Advantage plan available at all — up from 250,000 in 2025.
At the same time, the share of enrollees in plans that qualify for Medicare's quality bonus program dropped to 68% for 2026, down from 75% — even as Medicare is projected to spend more than $13 billion on those bonuses. Only 34 plans earned a top 5-star rating. The practical takeaway is simple: do not auto-renew. If your plan is being terminated, trimmed, or is losing your doctor, this year's Annual Enrollment Period is the time to act. Our step-by-step process is built to make that review painless.
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Book a Free ConsultationSwitching rules and the Medigap trap
Medicare gives you regular chances to change your mind. During the Annual Enrollment Period (October 15–December 7) you can switch between Original Medicare and Medicare Advantage, change Advantage plans, or change Part D plans. There is also a Medicare Advantage Open Enrollment Period (January 1–March 31) for those already in an Advantage plan to switch once.
Here is the part many people miss, and it is the single most important planning point in this whole article. Going from Original Medicare into Medicare Advantage is always easy. Going the other way can be hard — not because you cannot drop the Advantage plan, but because getting a Medigap policy later may require medical underwriting.
The one-time Medigap window
When you first enroll in Part B at 65, you get a one-time, six-month Medigap open enrollment period during which insurers must sell you any plan they offer at the best available rate, regardless of your health. Miss that window, and in most states an insurer can review your health history and decline you or charge more for pre-existing conditions. So someone who chooses Medicare Advantage at 65, develops a serious condition, and later tries to move to Original Medicare + Medigap may find a supplement expensive or unavailable.
Good news if you live in Connecticut. A handful of states — Connecticut, Massachusetts, Maine and New York — give Medicare beneficiaries stronger, year-round or annual guaranteed-issue rights to buy a Medigap policy without health underwriting. If you are in Connecticut, that flexibility can meaningfully change your strategy, and it is one reason a local review matters. See our Medicare coverage services for how we help.
How to decide which fits you
There is no scoreboard that declares a winner. Instead, weigh the factors that matter to you. In our experience, Original Medicare + Medigap tends to suit people who:
- Want to see any doctor nationwide without networks or referrals;
- Value predictable bills and want to minimize surprises in a heavy-care year;
- Travel frequently or split the year between states;
- Can comfortably afford a higher monthly premium in exchange for lower costs at the point of care.
Medicare Advantage tends to suit people who:
- Want the lowest possible monthly premium and are healthy enough that pay-as-you-go copays feel manageable;
- Like having dental, vision, hearing and other extras bundled in one plan;
- Are comfortable staying within a network and getting occasional prior authorizations;
- Live where strong, highly rated plans are available and their doctors participate.
Your decision also connects to the rest of your retirement plan — from when you claim Social Security to how you protect assets against health shocks. If you want a neutral second opinion, our FAQ answers more common questions, and our team is glad to walk through the specifics with you. You may also find our overview of ACA Open Enrollment for 2026 useful if you are helping a younger spouse bridge to Medicare age.
The best Medicare decision is not the cheapest or the most feature-packed — it is the one that matches your doctors, your medications, your budget and your appetite for risk. That is a personal fit, not a ranking.
Frequently asked questions
Neither is universally better. Medicare Advantage often has a low or $0 monthly premium and bundles extras like dental, vision and hearing, but uses networks and prior authorization. Original Medicare plus a Medigap policy costs more each month but gives you nationwide access to any doctor that accepts Medicare, with very predictable out-of-pocket costs. The right choice depends on your budget, your doctors, your prescriptions, how much you travel and how much financial predictability you want.
In 2026, about 75% of Medicare Advantage enrollees in individual drug plans pay no premium beyond the standard Part B premium of $202.90 per month, according to KFF and CMS. The average Medicare Advantage premium across all enrollees is about $14 per month. You still pay copays and coinsurance when you use care, up to an annual in-network out-of-pocket maximum that averages about $5,421 for 2026.
You can switch during Medicare's Annual Enrollment Period (October 15 to December 7) or the Medicare Advantage Open Enrollment Period (January 1 to March 31). The catch is Medigap: outside your one-time six-month Medigap open enrollment window at age 65, most states let insurers use medical underwriting, so a supplement can be denied or priced higher for health reasons. A few states, including Connecticut, guarantee access to Medigap year-round.
Original Medicare (Parts A and B) does not include routine outpatient prescription drug coverage. To cover your medications, you add a standalone Part D drug plan. Most Medicare Advantage plans include Part D coverage built in. In 2026, all Part D coverage includes the new $2,000 annual cap on out-of-pocket prescription costs.
For 2026, KFF reports the number of Medicare Advantage plans fell about 9% and the average beneficiary has 32 drug-plan options, down from 34 in 2025. Several large insurers are exiting certain counties, and about 2.6 million enrollees are in plans being terminated. Extra benefits are being trimmed in some plans. It is more important than ever to review your specific plan every year during the Annual Enrollment Period.
Related reading
Sources & further reading
- Medicare Advantage in 2026: Enrollment Update and Key Trends — KFF
- Medicare Advantage 2026 Spotlight: A First Look at Plan Offerings — KFF
- Medicare Advantage in 2026: Premiums, Out-of-Pocket Limits, Supplemental Benefits, and Prior Authorization — KFF
- Key Facts About Medigap Enrollment and Premiums for Medicare Beneficiaries — KFF
- 2026 Medicare Parts A & B Premiums and Deductibles — CMS
- Medicare Will Spend More Than $13 Billion on the MA Quality Bonus Program in 2026 — KFF
- Medicare Supplement (Medigap) Plans — Medicare.gov
Keith McLiverty